Showing posts with label financial education. Show all posts
Showing posts with label financial education. Show all posts

Saturday, December 10, 2011

Another top quality income idea is to learn the secret of "positive carry."

Porters second best income idea is to learn the secret of "positive carry.
From Stansberry & Associates

As I noted in my September 2009 issue, "The Seven Real Secrets of the World's Best Investors," most individual investors use margin (borrowing) in the wrong way. The most common way individual investors use margin is through buying put or call options. They want a big leveraged position, and they buy their leverage in the options market. They would get better odds in Vegas. Buying leverage in the options market is extremely expensive and unlikely to lead to success over the long term. Most of the great investors I know never buy options. They only sell them.

Why? Positive carry.

"Carry" refers to the cost of borrowing money. With interest rates this low, most institutional traders can get margin loans for 3%-4% annually. To make money with these loans, they don't have to earn very much. Using conservative strategies – like selling puts on stocks they want to buy anyway (which Dr. David Eifrig does inRetirement Trader) – they can earn 15%-30% per year. These kinds of highly leveraged positions involve some risk. But if you're good at it, you can make incredible profits. You're borrowing money at 4% and earning 20% with it. This is "positive carry."

You can earn positive carry in lots of ways. You can invest in higher-yielding debt obligations, like junk bonds. You can lend money to payday-loan vendors. You can invest in high-yielding stocks, like energy infrastructure master limited partnerships (MLPs). The point is, most of the great investors I know are always involved in carry trades of some kind. They keep 25%-50% of their capital tied up in these kinds of trades, which will earn them around 20% a year. They only take their money out of these trades when they have a unique and profitable opportunity.

Don't use margin to buy speculative positions. Don't use margin because you're not disciplined enough to keep a cash reserve. Only use margin when you can calculate that it will enable you to produce a substantial amount of positive carry.

Regards,

Porter Stansberry

Wednesday, December 7, 2011

A Word About the Importance of Saving!

Here's a word about the importance of saving from Porter Stansberry of Stansberry & Associates.  
Porter is terrific about helping others learn about investing, I only wish I had run across him when I was younger. So take note! 


If you can teach your children one thing about money, it should be teaching them how to save and why it's important to do so. Share this example with them… and ask, "Who will end up with the most money at retirement?"

Saver No. 1 is a hard worker who understands the value of time and the importance of saving. He gets a job at age 16. Each year, he saves $2,000 – roughly 250 hours of work at minimum wage. That's roughly six weeks of full-time work in the summer, or 25 weeks of part-time work (10 hours per week) during the school year. Either way, it's not an unrealistic amount of money for an enterprising 16 year old to earn, while still having plenty of money for current spending.

Saving $2,000 per year becomes a habit, and Saver No. 1 does it every year. Even after he begins his career in his mid-20s, he simply continues to set aside $2,000 per year. He invests these savings in a conservative way. He opens an IRA account so his investments won't be taxed. He puts 40% of his savings into short-term, highly rated corporate bonds. He puts 40% of his savings into high-quality "dividend growing" stocks. And he puts 10% into gold. Simple.

His portfolio only produces modest returns. Over time, he earns about 8% a year – mostly by reinvesting his dividends and interest payments. He's not worried about getting "rich." He's just saving his money. And it's easy because he never saves more than $2,000 a year. He has plenty of money to spend on things he needs and wants – but he always remembers to save first.

By the time he's 40 years old, he's contributed $48,000 in savings to his portfolio. At that point, he calculates that if he continues to earn 8% a year on this portfolio and reinvest all of his dividends and interest, he'll have plenty of money for retirement at 65 years old. So at age 40, Saver No. 1 stops saving money. He's now free to spend all the money he makes for the rest of his life.

Saver No. 2 doesn't learn to save as a child and doesn't even get a job until after college. By that time, he's so busy buying things – cars, vacations, dinners at nice restaurants, clothes, houses, etc., he never can "afford" to save a dime.

He wakes up at age 40 and realizes he doesn't have anything in the way of a retirement fund or really any liquid savings at all. So he begins to save, and he does a great job. He's putting away $10,000 per year, every year. He knows he's got to play "catch-up." Like Saver No. 1, he invests conservatively and earns 8% a year. He reinvests everything, like Saver No. 1. By the time he turns 65 years old, Saver No. 2 has contributed $250,000 towards his retirement.

Guess who has a bigger portfolio at age 65? Is it Saver No. 1 who never contributed more than $2,000 per year and whose savings totaled $48,000 in his lifetime… or is it Saver No. 2, who saved more than five times as much money initially?

At age 65, Saver No. 1's portfolio is worth a bit more than $1 million. Saver No. 2's portfolio is worth $800,000.

The point is, if you're planning to take the safe and sure route to wealth – which is saving and compounding your wealth – it pays to start early. If you don't, you'll have to contribute large sums of capital to your plan. Or… you've got to discover ways of getting high rates of income…
 

If I could do one thing for every one of our subscribers, it would be to give them the confidence and the knowledge to buy high-yield corporate bonds – bonds trading at a discount from par. Yes, you have to know what you're doing to buy these bonds, but once you understand the secret to making these investments in the right way, you can easily and safely earn annual income in excess of 10% a year, every year.

In fact, once you've made money like this, you'll probably never go back to buying stocks again. I've written about the idea of buying discounted corporate bonds many times in the Digest over the years… so I won't use today's space to talk about them. I'll simply say: Please… develop the confidence and knowledge required to buy discounted corporate bonds. It will change your life. It did mine.

Now… despite my pleading… Many readers aren't interested in acquiring this skill. They prefer to stick with income investments they can buy with one click of the mouse. And that's fine… You can still earn terrific yields on your money with this strategy.

Friday, October 14, 2011

How to Act on My Most Urgent Warning

 By Brian Hunt, editor in chief, Stansberry & Associates


For much of the past few years, I've been issuing a warning you'll never see in the mainstream press… and most likely never hear it from your broker.

Folks who have heeded my warning have saved a lot of money this year… and should continue to do so.

The warning is that contrary to popular belief, there's little difference in owning stocks or commodities these days.

If you make the popular move of buying a basket of commodities with the belief that you're diversifying your portfolio, you're badly mistaken. You're not diversifying your risk… You're actually "doubling down" on a risky bet. You're betting all will be well with the world and its intertwined economies.

You can see the extraordinary "correlation" between stocks and commodities in the chart below. It plots the performance of the benchmark CRB commodity index (black line) versus the performance of the benchmark S&P 500 index (blue line) over the past year.


The two indexes move in the same up and down fashion, at the same rate. And they've both plummeted since May:


"Interesting," some readers say. "So what should I do about it?"

When structuring your own portfolio, keep correlation in mind… And consider "lightening up" on stocks and commodities.

You could start by just increasing your cash position. I'm not talking about sitting in U.S. dollars for a decade. But in the short term, cash is your "dry powder." It's money you have on hand to buy bargains when they appear. I often call cash "big returns in waiting."

The next thing you can consider is upping your allocation to gold and silver. Granted, gold and silver aren't the screaming deals they were in 2003, but they still have enormous potential to rise, should the U.S. or European sovereign debt situations blow up.

Finally, consider taking a small portion of your portfolio and putting it into a few "short" positions. Short selling is a strategy that allows you to profit when stocks fall. (I read my colleague Porter Stansberry's advisory for the best short-selling ideas. You can learn why here.)

If you've got most of your money in stocks right now with a commodity "hedge," all you've really got is one giant bet on the same thing. For a safer approach, move money to some or all of the alternatives above.

I can't say exactly what your allocation should be. Everyone has different financial needs and goals. And market conditions change constantly.

But in today's age of massive government spending, borrowing, bailouts, and potential blowups, risk-limiting ideas like these have never been more important.

Regards,
Brian Hunt

Saturday, October 1, 2011

The Greatest Financial Gift You Can Give to Your Children

By Tom Dyson, publisher, The Palm Beach Letter
Saturday, October 1, 2011

I wrote this essay for your children and grandchildren.

You've probably heard about America's huge debt load. The U.S. government's financial obligations now exceed $663,000 per American family. This burden will fall on the youngest Americans.

It's unethical. It's unfortunate. But it's the reality.

With this giant financial obligation bearing down on them, it's critical that now – right now – your children and grandchildren learn about money and finance. They need to know the basic principles… like how to be independent, why debt is dangerous, and how to grow money.

They don't teach finance in schools. If you don't teach them this knowledge, no one will. They call this financial illiteracy.

If our children are financially illiterate, they have as much chance of survival as a swordsman in a gunfight. There will be no mercy for the financially illiterate in the future. It's likely these people will live as indentured servants to the government and its creditors.

But if our kids have a grasp of finance and its basics – and they obey its laws – they will grow up rich. They will be in a position to help other Americans, too.

Below, you'll find the three vital financial concepts all children need to understand. Please pass them on to your children and grandchildren as soon as you can. I have two young children… And these three concepts are my starting point for their financial education.

First of all, our kids must know that they are not entitled to money or wealth… or anything for that matter, even Christmas presents. They must earn money. I want my children to learn that they shouldn't expect anything to be handed to them. I don't want them to rely on the government for their livelihood, like many people do right now.

So many people treat money and prosperity as an entitlement. The government even calls its welfare programs "entitlements." This word – and what it represents – gets stamped into young people's brains. Kids act as if they are somehow entitled to toys, video games, and cars. But why should they be? Just because they have parents, it doesn't mean they should get everything they want… or anything at all, for that matter.

I plan to regularly remind my children of this when they are old enough to understand it. And I'm not going to pay my kids an allowance. An allowance would reinforce the sense of entitlement. They can make money by earning it: doing the dishes, making their beds, mowing the lawn… there are a million things. My wife and I will pay them for doing those things. But I'm not going to just give them money.

The second concept our children need to understand is debt. Debt is expensive. If you abuse it, it will destroy you. Like the entitlement mentality, debt is an enslaver. It robs you of your independence. I avoid debt in my personal life… and when I'm choosing investments.

The best way to illustrate the cost of debt is to calculate the total amount of interest the debt generates in dollars over the lifetime of the loan, instead of looking at the interest rate (like most people do). Once you look at it like that, you can see how expensive borrowing money really is.

For example, say you borrow $100,000 with a 30-year mortgage at 7%. Over 30 years, you'll end up paying $140,000 in interest to the bank. In the end, you're out $240,000 for a house that cost less than half that. Not a good deal.

The third thing our kids need to learn is the power of compound interest and the best way to harness it.

Compound interest is the most powerful force in finance. It is the force behind almost every fortune. The brilliant Richard Russell calls compound interest "The Royal Road to Riches." And it's mathematically guaranteed.

Let's say, for example, you have $100 earning 10% annual interest. At the end of a year, you'll have $110. During the second year, you'll earn interest on $110 instead of $100. In the third year, you'll earn interest on $121… and so on. This is the power of compound interest. The numbers get enormous over time, simply because you're earning interest on your interest.

Because time is the most important element in compounding, it's an incredibly powerful idea for children to understand. They have the ultimate edge in the market: the time to compound over decades.

The stock market is the best place to earn compound interest. You buy companies that have 50 years or more of rising dividend payments ahead of them. Then you let the mathematics work.

As soon as my kids are old enough to understand some arithmetic, I am going to sit down with the classic compounding tables and show them which stocks they have to buy. I'll use Coca-Cola, Johnson & Johnson, and Phillip Morris as examples.

After that, assuming they have the discipline to follow through, they will get rich. There's no doubt about it.

In sum, you have the responsibility to educate your kin about finance. If you don't, no one else will, and they will suffer for it.

Encourage them to work hard and avoid the entitlement mentality. Teach them the power of compound interest and explain the dangers of debt.

If you do this, you will equip your kids and grandkids to survive financially in the difficult circumstances ahead. You'll provide them with something that nobody can place a price on: the power of independence.

Good investing,

Tom